Todd Little

Talks by topic

Each talk is listed once, with its abstract, the most recent slides, and a recording where one exists.

Leadership FoundationBusiness ValuePeopleProcessTechnology

Prefer it by date? The chronological archive lists all 146 presentations since 1998.

Leadership Foundation

About this topic
  • Managed Evolutionary Change Featured

    In today's dynamic business landscape, organizations face the constant need to adapt and evolve to stay ahead. Traditional change management approaches often fall short in addressing the complexities and uncertainties associated with continuous improvement.

    Full abstract

    Evolutionary change is a powerful management approach that embraces small incremental changes starting with what you do now.

    In order to have effective evolutionary change, it is critical to emphasize the importance of continuous feedback loops, empowering teams to learn from their experiences and adapt accordingly. Scrum tells team members to “inspect and adapt,” but what does that mean? Through regular reflection and data-driven analytics, organizations can foster a culture of continuous improvement, where evolutionary change becomes the norm rather than a disruptive event.

    Join Todd as he explores managed evolutionary change by designing experiments to solve some of the problems that your organizations or teams have. Using managed evolutionary change can help navigate the complexities of change and ensure long-term success in today's dynamic business environment.

    Learning Objectives

    • Understand the motivation for evolutionary change. Why evolutionary change instead of larger revolutionary change?
    • Discover the evolutionary change formula: Change can happen when there is a Stressor in the system exposed through Reflection and followed up with an Act of Leadership. In short: Change = Stressor + Reflection Mechanism + Act of Leadership.
    • Experience going from problem to experiment design. How to identify the pain, look for potential causes, identify actions and solutions and then weigh those against difficulty, resistance, and influence. Filter that down and start taking action.

    WatchSlidesPresented 11 times, 2020–2025

  • The Foundation of Business Agility: Feedback Loops Featured

    At the core to any agile approach is the ability to manage for uncertainty. This is only possible through a process of continuous learning which requires active feedback loops. Linear approaches are doomed to fail in a world of uncertainty. Feedback incorporates new knowledge which enables learning. The key is maintaining healthy feedback loops which will enable success. An iterative approach with broken feedback loops is similarly doomed.

    Full abstract

    Feedback is a core general practice of the Kanban Method. The visual board, metrics, and regular cadences all provide feedback to enable continuous learning and continuous improvement. Not only are feedback loops the foundation of business agility, empiricism is the foundation of the scientific method, Shewart-Deming process improvement cycles, and the Lean Startup model. Todd’s background is as a Chemical and Petroleum engineer, so control systems and empiricism are natural for him. Todd will share his background with control systems and explore how healthy agile approaches incorporate multivariate closed loop control systems.

    SlidesPresented 7 times, 2019–2020

  • The Kanban Mindset Featured

    Many people think Kanban is just a project tracking board, whether it is stickies on the wall or in a tool like Trello or Jira. But Kanban is much more. And what does the Kanban Method mean to a Project Management Professional?

    Full abstract

    The Kanban Method embraces the constant change inherent to managing knowledge work and enables IT, financial services, insurance and global organizations to become more collaborative, unified and productive in the face of growing competitive pressures and organizational chaos. This is accomplished by teaching individuals and organizations how to understand, visualize and measure systems of work to continually improve and consistently deliver effective results. The Kanban Method provides a set of proven practices and approaches that scale from individuals and teams to the enterprise.

    Join Todd as he shares how the Kanban Method focuses on the following areas in order to drive continuous improvement:

    • Visualize
    • Limit WIP
    • Manage Flow
    • Make policies explicit
    • Implement Feedback Loops
    • Improve Collaboratively, Evolve Experimentally

    WatchSlidesPresented 3 times, 2019–2020

  • Real Options for Business Agility Featured

    Enterprise projects are known to have challenges with uncertainty, risk, forecasting and commitment - and the most valuable projects often carry the most risk. Other industries also encounter risk and generate value by understanding and managing that risk effectively. Todd Little explores techniques used in a number of risky businesses - product development, oil and gas exploration, investment banking, medicine, weather forecasting, and gambling - and shares what those industries have done to manage uncertainty.

    SlidesPresented 14 times, 2009–2019

  • The Preventable Pandemics - Stop the Transformationitis and the Reorganizationitis

    We are suffering from a horrible pandemic of epic proportion. Organizations throughout the globe are stricken by the contagions of transformationitis and the typical co-infection of reorganizationitis. Fortunately, these diseases are highly avoidable.

    Full abstract

    The Kanban Method is a model for evolutionary change that helps organizations continually improve their service delivery. This approach of evolutionary change eschews the traditional model of change based on “transformation.” Since the Kanban Method “starts with what you do now,” it also considers reorganization to be a last resort.

    The Kanban Maturity Model provides a roadmap to evolutionary change by codifying patterns that have been observed over the past 13 years of Kanban implementations.

    Join Todd and Joey as they share how the Kanban Method utilizes evolutionary change to transform your organization without suffering the pandemics of transformationitis and reorganizationitis.

    WatchSlidesPresented 2 times, 2021

  • Stand Back and Deliver

    Leadership is a dance of stepping up to provide guidance and then stepping back to let the team deliver. This is easier said than done. As one of the co-authors of the book “Stand Back and Deliver,” Todd will demonstrate some of the tools that he has used to help with this leadership dance. These tools include:

    Full abstract
    • Purpose Alignment Model
    • Context Leadership Model
    • Business Value Model
    • Trust Ownership Model

    Attendees will learn a couple of different tools that they can use to understand and improve in their overall leadership capabilities. The role of leadership is critical to success.

    WatchSlidesPresented 8 times, 2007–2018

  • The Practices of a Transformational Leader

    Leaders today face constant, accelerating change driven by technology and incredibly high expectations from both internal and external customers. Surviving and thriving in this environment requires IT leaders who can reliably deliver the following:

    Full abstract
    • Innovation that drives the organization forward
    • Innovation centered on creating competitive advantage
    • Results in the face of dramatic change and ambiguity
    • Excellence in delivery
    • A culture of motivation and agility
    • Relationships of trust both inside and outside of the organization

    In short, as IT leaders we need to transform our roles and our departments. But, what can we use to pull off this transformation? In this workshop, we focus on, teach and practice the tools of transformational leadership.

    Part one of the training dives deep into the Purpose Alignment and Business Value Models. These tools are proven and can be put to use immediately. Part two of the training covers tools leaders use to re-define their roles using the Trust / Ownership Model including agile principles.

    All of these tools are concrete, pragmatic, and usable. After each part of the training, participants are ready to use the tools to re-define their roles and deliver what their organizations need – brilliant leadership.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2017

  • Agile Executive Overview

    Many development organizations have fully embraced agile development and there have been some great successes. But agility requires more than the development organization to be successful. Todd will share the message that he has delivered to business executives to help them better understand agile development, what it means for them, and what we ask of them so that we can all be successful.

    Full abstract

    This will be a high level executive overview. We won’t promise that you will learn any particular tips or tricks (you might), but you will come away with an understanding of what conversations we have with business executives. The four areas that we will highlight are:

    • Learning
    • Value
    • Predictability
    • Culture

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2015

  • What are Executives Saying about Agile Development?

    Each year the Agile Executive Forum brings together executives responsible for large software portfolios to share their experiences with agile development. Todd summarizes what those executives are saying: why they adopted agile, the challenges they faced in scaling it across their organizations, and what they learned along the way.

    Full abstract

    The session covers what executives fear (surprises), how agile helps them deal with market and technical uncertainty, and how the roles of executives, middle managers, project managers, and developers each need to change for an agile transformation to succeed.

    SlidesPresented 2 times, 2012–2013

  • Elephants in the Agile Room: Reflections on 10 Years of Agility

    In February 2011, ten years after the Agile Manifesto was written at Snowbird, a group gathered at the same place to reflect on what agile had achieved and to look into the future. Todd was part of a group that set out to "hunt elephants": the issues the agile community knew about but was not talking about.

    Full abstract

    Todd shares some of those elephants, including pretending agile is not a business, dogma winning out over context, elitism as an excuse for failures, the reality of distributed teams, the role of culture and politics, and certification (the "zombie elephant"). He balances them with the real successes of the first ten years, and closes with the four value propositions that came out of the event for taking agility forward:

    • Demand Technical Excellence
    • Promote Individual Change and Lead Organizational Change
    • Organize Knowledge and Improve Education
    • Maximize Value Creation Across the Entire Process

    WatchSlidesPresented 3 times, 2011–2012

  • Introduction to Causal Loops and Systems Thinking

    Peter Senge’s Fifth Discipline does a great job of explaining Systems Thinking and the use of Causal Loops to describe system behavior. This presentation provides an overview of Systems Thinking and Causal Loops and goes into some of the common dynamics of software development

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 1998

Business Value

About this topic
  • Is your Strategy a Bucket or a Filter? Featured

    One of the biggest challenges for many organizations is that they have too many good ideas and are unable to fully staff all of them. A good strategy will act as a decision filter to help with portfolio prioritization. But too often strategies behave more like buckets than filters, and all new initiatives just get accumulated into the strategy bucket. This results in an overloaded portfolio that cannot be delivered resulting in frustration throughout the organization.

    SlidesPresented 2 times, 2017–2026

  • From Product Discovery to Product Delivery - a Real Life Example Featured

    In this talk called "From Product Discovery to Product Delivery - A Real-Life Example", Todd will dive into the product journey of creating a new training class product called "Scrum Better with Kanban", developed by Kanban University and how they took it from the initial market assessment to the final product release. The talk will discuss the various factors that went into the product development process, including customer interviews, beta testing, and A/B testing. Todd will share his experience of conducting market research to identify the target audience and understand his needs and pain points. He will also discuss how customer interviews helped them refine the product idea and create a product that met customers' expectations. He will delve into the beta testing phase and how A/B testing was used to compare different features and determine which ones resonated with customers the most. Finally, He will share how the product was launched in the market and the lessons learned throughout the product development journey. Attendees can expect to gain insights into the product development process and learn about the importance of customer feedback in creating a successful product.

    WatchSlidesPresented 5 times, 2023–2025

  • Value Creation and Capture, a Model of the Software Development Process Featured

    Todd Little presents a model of the software development process that can help managers and project team members improve their understanding of software development dynamics. The model consists of a set of functions and parameters that can easily be applied in a spreadsheet. Utilizing this model provides guidance for the software development organization to maximize value delivery by exploring value creation and value capture in the presence of uncertainty. Items that can be explored include project staffing, optimal release dates, and potential impacts of process improvements such as Pair Programming.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2007

  • Assessing the Cost of Outsourcing: Efficiency, Effectiveness, and Risk Featured

    Offshore outsourcing is a popular approach for companies looking to reduce software development costs. We have found that the full picture of cost and value requires looking at efficiency, effectiveness, and risk. We provide a financial model and explore the so called hidden costs and risks of offshore outsourcing.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2007

  • The Purpose Alignment Model

    I often see teams struggle with aligning their development approaches with the market strategy of how their product is going to be successful in the marketplace. To be successful, a product must do something really well that solves a particular set of problems that customers are willing to pay for while at the same time it needs to solve other basic problems no worse than the competition. Product teams need to know where they are aiming to be “differentiating” and where they are aiming to be “good enough.” The Purpose Alignment Model developed by Niel Nickolaisen is a simple tool that can provide guidance to teams.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2015

  • Barely Sufficient Portfolio Management

    Yogi Berra is quoted as saying, “It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.” Effective management of a software portfolio is a challenge that many companies ignore, avoid or fail to follow through because it is too hard. Many approaches to portfolio management get so complex that decisions fail to get made. But what would “barely sufficient” portfolio management look like? In this hands-on tutorial we review some basic portfolio management guidelines and introduce a simulation game where participants make decisions about which investments a company makes.

    Full abstract

    Through the instruction and the simulation, participants will learn about product, project, and portfolio management issues such as business strategy, investment return, constraint management, technical and market uncertainty and project complexity in order to optimize overall return.

    SlidesPresented 4 times, 2008–2009

  • The Strategic Business Analyst

    We introduce the Purpose Alignment Model described in the book "Stand Back and Deliver" to demonstrate how to analyze portfolios, projects, functionality, and features based on company strategy. We will discuss the benefits this approach generates, the process for implementing this model, and work through several case studies. After developing a Purpose-Alignment Model for your project or company, you can significantly improve decision making and resource allocation (and make yourself look really good).

    Full abstract

    Key Learning Points

    • Learn how to make an organization's strategy accessible to project teams.
    • Learn how to use this accessible strategy to guide project decisions.
    • Learn how to assess requirements based on their contribution to a project’s delivered value

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2009

  • Dealing with Resistance Featured

    How often do we hear the familiar cries of frustration?

    Full abstract
    • If only I had executive support...
    • If only I could get my Product Owner to...
    • If only my team would...
    • If only we had a true Agile culture...

    But resistance is always present. And wishful thinking has a terrible track record of making it disappear. Instead of hoping for change, we must develop effective strategies to address and navigate resistance.

    This session explores the roots of resistance, drawing on Daniel Kahneman’s insights into System 1 (emotional, instinctive) and System 2 (rational, analytical) thinking. Often, what appears to be logical resistance is actually emotional at its core. Understanding this distinction is key to overcoming roadblocks and fostering real change.

    Beyond direct confrontation, we’ll also discuss an alternative approach—what we call "going around the rocks." Inspired by Bruce Lee’s philosophy of "being like water," this technique teaches Agile practitioners how to adapt, flow around resistance, and create momentum in transformation efforts without unnecessary friction.

    Join us to learn how to turn resistance from an obstacle into an opportunity. Walk away with practical tools to engage teams, leaders, and stakeholders in meaningful Agile change.

    Learning Objectives

    • Understand Kahneman’s Theory of System 1 (emotional, instinctive) and System 2 (rational, analytical) thinking and how it relates to logical or emotional resistance.
    • Learn techniques for navigating through resistance including the concept of going around the rocks based on Bruce Lee’s philosophy of be like water.
    • Discover the evolutionary change formula: Change can happen when there is a Stressor in the system exposed through Reflection and followed up with an Act of Leadership. In short: Change = Stressor + Reflection Mechanism + Act of Leadership.
    • Experience going from problem to experiment design. How to identify the pain, look for potential causes, identify actions and solutions and then weigh those against difficulty, resistance, and influence. Filter that down and start taking action.

    SlidesPresented 2 times, 2026

  • Performance Reviews that Don't Suck Featured

    Many in the agile community suggest abandoning performance reviews, but few offer suggestions for alternatives. A large percentage of software developers work in an enterprise environment where performance reviews are mandated. What if you could do performance reviews that will honor agile values and not only suck less, but actually provide value to the individual and the organization? We have rolled out such a system successfully with strong support across the enterprise--from the individual colleagues, to people leaders, and even including HR. We will demonstrate the principles and the specific implementation of our system which you can tailor to your organization’s values and constraints.

    Full abstract

    Learning Outcomes

    • How to go about designing a performance management system that honors agile values and actually provides value to both the organization and the individuals.

    WatchSlidesPresented 4 times, 2016–2018

  • Leading Global Teams Featured

    A major challenge in agile development is the ability of test teams to keep pace with ongoing development while simultaneously ensuring that new development has not created regression failures. This case study from Halliburton shows how together with two globally distributed outsourcing partners they developed a comprehensive test automation strategy for their agile teams that effectively leveraged both in house and outsourced activities. This approach resulted in a significant quality improvement from prior releases.

    WatchSlidesPresented 8 times, 2011–2017

  • Leading Change Through Collaboration Featured

    Leaders today are faced with an incredible challenge—delivering the right results to changing marketplaces, doing more with limited resources, improving processes to reduce costs, opening new markets, and keeping the company from falling into chaos. Amazingly though, the solutions to many challenges are already held within your organization and team. How do you unleash the talent within and foster the flow of innovative ideas? In this hands-on and highly interactive session, Pollyanna Pixton and Todd Little introduce the principles of collaboration and the tools you need to create collaborative cultures in your team and organization. Combining principles with practice, you will learn how to use a proven collaboration process to generate new ideas and embrace change, identify barriers to innovation and agility, and discover novel ways to implement solutions. Practice these techniques and tools to become a more collaborative leader while learning the process for leading upwards and outwards.

    SlidesPresented 2 times, 2008–2009

  • Changing the World of Work

    Fearless change is about making a difference. In 2002 Todd happened upon an opportunity to make a difference. He met Alistair Cockburn at a conference and learned that Alistair had plans to start an Agile Development Conference. During the conversation, Todd and Alistair came to the realization that this wasn’t just another conference, this was about building a community and changing the world of work.

    Full abstract

    Todd had some experience running internal conferences at his company and he and Alistair teamed up to deliver the first conference run by the Agile Alliance. The challenges were significant including multiple stakeholders with different objectives. There was a lot of enthusiasm, but the stakeholders had not had not run a conference of this scale. There was also a lot of uncertainty, and that uncertainty created significant tension. Todd leveraged his experience running an internal conference to bring the stakeholders together towards a unified purpose.

    That first conference was a huge success doing a bit better than break even financially, but creating a significant buzz and positive experience setting the path for the future. Todd ran the conference for the next 3 years growing the event from 275 attendees to over 1100. Now, 15 years later, the event sells out at 2500 and the agile movement is changing the world of work.

    Learning Outcomes

    • Create and seize opportunities
    • Articulate and stay focused on purpose
    • Bound the uncertainty
    • Resolve conflict by alignment to purpose

    WatchSlidesPresented 1 time, 2017

  • Integrating Software by Integrating People

    Like many companies, Landmark Graphics is a globally distributed organization and has faced challenges associated with distributed development. The leadership at Landmark knew that software is developed by people and that if they wanted to produce integrated enterprise software they needed to get the people developing the software better integrated. Todd shares some of his experiences at Landmark (and parent organization Halliburton) with specific examples and techniques that were used to bring multiple diverse corporate, geographic, and domain cultures towards a unified objective. At first the challenges were related to blending cultures of organizations through acquisition. Over time Landmark started working with offshore outsourcing providers and discovered new challenges. Ultimately it comes down to communication and understanding. The agile community often talks about changing culture, but often it is more effective to understand culture and then work to maximize effectiveness. By understanding culture, and understanding individuals and interactions, it is possible to adapt and to be agile.

    SlidesPresented 2 times, 2008–2013

  • What is an Agile Leader

    In this presentation, Todd discusses the concept of an Agile Leader by examining the Declaration of Interdependence, including a history of its creation.

    Full abstract

    We are a community of project leaders that are highly successful at delivering results. To achieve these results:

    • We increase return on investment by making continuous flow of value our focus.
    • We deliver reliable results by engaging customers in frequent interactions and shared ownership.
    • We expect uncertainty and manage for it through iterations, anticipation, and adaptation.
    • We unleash creativity and innovation by recognizing that individuals are the ultimate source of value, and creating an environment where they can make a difference.
    • We boost performance through group accountability for results and shared responsibility for team effectiveness.
    • We improve effectiveness and reliability through situationally specific strategies, processes and practices.

    SlidesPresented 2 times, 2006–2008

  • Introduction to Jungian Type and MBTI

    Meyers and Briggs popularized Carl Jung’s work on personality type. This presentation explains type and temperament and has been found to be very useful to teams to help them understand themselves and each other.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2001

  • Introduction to the Enneagram

    The Enneagram shares some similarities and is complimentary with Jungian type, but also has some important differences. Fundamentally the Enneagram is based on the compulsion and is quite helpful to self and group understanding. It also provides a path of transformation that allows getting through unhealthy compulsions.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2001

  • Caught in the Matrix

    Organizations struggle with whether to have Product Line or Functional alignment, or some form of formal or semi-formal Matrix organization. This presentation examines the benefits of each form of organization and why each could and should be utilized.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2000

  • Think in Systems, Deliver at Scale Featured

    Regulated, high-capital environments often see local optimization due to excessive constraints while the broader system stalls. We present a real-world AI deployment for real-time optimization of oil wells to show how shifting from local to system-level and Agile/Lean thinking unlocked learning, throughput, and scale. The result: a 14X+ increase in delivery velocity with improved quality leading to multiple millions in value generation. Attendees leave with practical techniques applicable to complex, compliance-driven environments deploying AI/ML solutions.

    Full abstract

    At the conclusion of this session, attendees will be able to:

    • Identify how local optimization in regulated, complex environments creates systemic bottlenecks, stakeholder gridlock, and misleading signals that undermine delivery.
    • Design systems that recognize partial, imperfect delivery beats waiting for certainty, especially when stakes are hundreds of millions of dollars.
    • Apply system‑level optimization techniques to prioritize flow across interconnected components while exposing hidden constraints in regulated, compliance‑driven environments.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2026

  • Managing Flow in the Age of AI (podcast) Featured

    In this podcast conversation, Todd Little looks at how AI is changing the flow of work across the value chain, from product management and project management to development and testing, and what that means for the people and practices involved.

    Full abstract

    Topics include:

    • How workflow is changing, with a likely shift toward more continuous flow
    • The roles of product management and project management as delivery speeds up
    • AI-enabled speed: blessing or curse, and why many organizations struggle to turn AI adoption into tangible results
    • How agility is defined in today's world, from the perspective of the business
    • Whether Scrum and Kanban still matter, and why feedback loops for both process improvement and product improvement are as important as ever, if not more so
    • Smaller teams augmented by AI agents

    WatchPresented 1 time, 2026

  • Scrum Better with Kanban Featured

    Has your Scrum implementation failed to reach the expected benefits or stalled out? You’re not alone – Jeff Sutherland, co-founder of the Scrum Framework has stated that 58% of Scrum implementations fail. The Kanban Method can help.

    Full abstract

    Too often I hear people ask whether they should use Scrum or Kanban, or they try to make a comparison between Scrum and Kanban. This is a flawed comparison seeing each as a competing framework. Scrum is a framework that provides intentionally incomplete guidance for product development. In contrast, the Kanban Method is a management method for evolutionary change, or an unframework. While Scrum usually involves a transformation and a reorganization to create the teams and roles, the Kanban Method starts with what you do now and provides management guidance on continuous improvement through evolutionary change. The Kanban Method can be applied regardless of whether you are starting from waterfall, Scrum, SAFe, or chaos.

    If you have already transformed to Scrum, then applying the Kanban Method simply means starting with Scrum and applying the 3 change management principles, the 3 service delivery principles and the 6 general practices to your Scrum. These principles and practices have significant overlap with the Scrum Framework.

    Join Todd as he shares how these principles and practices of the Kanban Method look from a Scrum perspective and what a Scrum team can do to utilize the Kanban Method to improve their Scrum. Through a case study Todd will show the Kanban Method can turbocharge your Scrum.

    WatchSlidesPresented 4 times, 2022–2023

  • 7 Sins of Scrum and other Agile Anti-Patterns Featured

    This is about agile “anti-patterns”: “something that looks like a good idea, but which backfires badly when applied” (Coplien). Todd has been around agile development from before it was called agile. In that time, he’s seen teams fall into the trap of many of these anti-patterns, becoming stuck without ever realizing it. Frequently, this is due to a dogmatic understanding of what is right and wrong about Scrum and agile development. The first step to getting unstuck is to be able to detect these “sins.” The presentation aims to expose teams to these common pitfalls and then also provide a vision for a virtuous path to take them to the Promised Land.

    WatchSlidesPresented 9 times, 2015–2018

  • Context Driven Agile Leadership Featured

    Too often people in the software industry propose the magic bullet "one size fits all" approach to leading and managing projects. As any experienced leader knows, each project has its unique characteristics and it is the context of these characteristics that must influence how best to lead and manage the project and the teams. The Context Leadership Model looks at uncertainty and complexity and has found that these two attributes of a project provide guidance to effective leadership, risk management and overall governance.

    Full abstract

    Complexity includes project composition such as team size and criticality, while uncertainty includes both market and technical uncertainty. The approach and leadership style required for a simple, stable project is quite different than what is required for highly uncertain, highly complex projects. In this webinar Todd will introduce the model and then demonstrate a number of examples of how the leadership styles differed based on the project context.

    SlidesPresented 8 times, 2005–2017

  • To Estimate or #NoEstimates Featured

    The #NoEstimates twitter hashtag was intended by Woody Zuill "..for the topic of exploring alternatives to estimates [of time, effort, cost] for making decisions in software development. That is, ways to make decisions with ‘No Estimates’." Based on twitter traffic it has been successful at generating activity. It's a bit debatable as to whether it has really spawned much exploration. In this talk Todd will actually do some exploration using real data from over 50 projects at companies ranging from startups to large enterprises. In addition to the analysis of the data, Todd was able to build a simulation model of the software development process to both replicate the data to and explore the conditions under which estimates add value and when they do not. Based on the findings from the data and the simulations, along with an analysis of the types of business decisions that organizations need to make, Todd will provide some pragmatic advice for estimators and #NoEstimators alike.

    WatchSlidesPresented 6 times, 2016–2017

  • Mythbusting Software Estimation Featured

    In the world of software development, estimation challenges exist on multiple fronts. Teams are faced with estimating value, cost, and/or schedule at the task, story, project, and/or portfolio level. There are some agile practices that claim to help with estimation, including not doing estimation at all, but still many agile projects are challenged. In this session Todd will look into some of the reasons for these challenges by exploring a number of myths of software estimation and then setting out to validate or bust these myths. Learn what the real data says, not what some pundit says should be true. Some of the myths that will be explored include:

    Full abstract
    • Historical Estimation Accuracy
    • Relative Estimation
    • The Cone of Uncertainty
    • Velocity
    • Scope Creep
    • Estimation Tools
    • Wisdom of Crowds

    WatchSlidesPresented 5 times, 2014–2015

  • Improving Knowledge Work Delivery with Kanban (podcast)

    Todd Little, chairman of the Kanban University, calls himself an ‘accidental agilist’. He joins Tomasz Wykowski from ProCognita to discuss why the Agile movement is failing in a lot of companies, which often leads to ‘Agile is dead’ statements. They start by looking at how agile courses make people happy, but don’t deliver what they promise. Then they check why comparing Scrum to Kanban doesn’t make sense and deep dive into the Kanban approach to improving knowledge work delivery. Todd explains why the Kanban approach prefers smaller changes over large transformations, as the former can often bring significant improvements. They discuss whether the ‘meet them where they are’ approach can lead to a local optimum of ‘better waterfall’, and how the organization can improve by understanding delays and managing dependencies.

    WatchPresented 1 time, 2025

  • Is Agile Dead? Does Kanban Care?

    Is Agile Dead Yet? 2023 and 2024 saw many organizations make wholesale cuts to their agile roles and Agile Centers of Excellence. Capital One had been a long time agile advocate and made waves when they eliminated 1100 agile positions. Target had been quite famous for their Dojo approach, yet they also made significant cuts to their agile roles. This is just the start of the list.

    Full abstract

    What’s going on here? What are the dynamics that are causing these changes in the ecosystem? What’s going on with agile? What is agile anyway? And what is agility? Is Kanban agile? Does Kanban deliver agility? Does anybody care?

    Todd’s been around the agile space since before it was coined “agile” with the Agile Manifesto. Fortunately, Todd’s not dead yet, so Todd will provide his retrospective of what has happened in the agile space, how it started, how we got here, and where we might be going. Certainly, Kanban plays a major role in the future. But what is that future?

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2024

  • Exploring Little's Law

    John D. C. Little’s Law has been used in queuing theory for over half a century. It is an elegant explanation of the relationship between average throughput, Work in Progress (WIP), and cycle time. In a stable environment, it gives us a good understanding of the performance of the system which can be used for the design of our system and forecasting.

    Full abstract

    People often wonder how to go about setting WIP limits. Can Little’s Law help us with our system design? We’ll work through an example from the XIT case study to demonstrate some design considerations.

    Little’s Law has also been used for forecasting using historic throughput as a predictor of future performance. But where are the estimates? Certainly, size must matter. But does it? In this workshop, we explore Little’s Law through theory and the experience of simulations. Each attendee will come away with a better understanding of Little’s Law and the core assumptions necessary for it to be applicable and useful in forecasting. Through the simulation, you will experience why the estimation of individual items is often not necessary in an environment where Little’s Law applies.

    WatchSlidesPresented 3 times, 2019–2022

  • The 8Ds of Delay

    What do all project managers fear? Delays! Delays can come in multiple forms and the astute project manager needs to be able to identify and anticipate where delays may come.

    Full abstract

    The Kanban Method is focused on improving flow by reducing delays. Where are all the delays that are impacting your project or service delivery? Join Todd as he shares a personal story of repairing his fence during COVID times and some of the delays that he encountered. These 8Ds of delay are items that can occur on any service delivery and are areas to target to improve overall flow and the most important D, Delivery!

    • Dawdle
    • Defect
    • Discovery
    • Distractions
    • Dependency
    • Decisions
    • Departures
    • Derailed

    Lessons Learned

    • Identify the 8 sources of delay
    • Learn techniques for addressing each of the 8 sources of delay
    • Observe many of these delays through a real world case study

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2021

  • Value Uncertainty Game

    Our society spends many years training linear thinking. But linear thinking approaches can fail miserably when the world is uncertain. What can we do to help people learn how to manage in the presence of uncertainty?

    Full abstract

    In this highly engaging workshop attendees will experience estimating, planning and delivering a new product and product features. The uncertainty in value and costs will be resolved through rolling dice based on the stories that the team selects and prioritizes. The teams will run through 3 iterations of story cost, value estimation, and product feature delivery. Points will be scored for delivering product features and meeting release and iteration commitments.

    The simulation aims to have levels of uncertainty in value and delivery that are commensurate with those found in software development. Attendees will come away with a better understanding of the challenges of working with uncertainty in software projects, and learn that some very popular approaches used in managing software projects may have counterproductive results.

    Learning Outcomes

    Attendees will experience firsthand through the simulation and come away with a better understanding of the challenges of working with uncertainty in software projects. They will also see the impact of release and iteration commitments and how they influence decisions and behaviors. Through the experience they will learn some of the tools that are at their disposal for managing this uncertainty.

    WatchSlidesPresented 4 times, 2015–2019

  • Running a Kanban Company, Kanban Style

    Lean Kanban is the premier source of professional Kanban training, and it is also a Kanban business run with a Kanban mindset. Todd Little and Janice Linden-Reed share how the company applies the Kanban Method to running its own business: starting with what they do now, visualizing the work, balancing demand and capability as the business grew rapidly, and using feedback loops to evolve.

    Full abstract

    Attendees will see real examples of how the Kanban Method's principles and practices apply beyond software teams, to running an entire company.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2018

  • Six Key Lessons Learned from Agile and Lean Principles to Incorporate into a Stage-Gate Idea-to-Launch Process

    Speed to market and quality of execution issues are forcing many companies to rethink how they advance an idea from conception to launch. Experienced product developers know that eliminating key front end and commercialization activities to cut development time is a recipe for disaster. Conversely not launching on time or ahead of the pack can result in far lower revenue generation, market share attainment and a reduced lifecycle resulting in more pressure on the product developers to find and launch the next great hope. Building agility into a Stage-Gate process and underpinning with Agile, Lean and Stage-Gate principles has been found to be an effective solution for addressing the need for speed yet quality of activity execution. Join long time Agile and Stage-Gate practitioner and expert Todd Little as he shares his experiences integrating agility and agility principles into Stage-Gate idea-to-launch processes. Todd will explore 6 key takeaways from agile and lean approaches that provide the backbone for an efficient and effective NPD process in this highly interactive and hands on session.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2016

  • An Introduction to Agile Software Development

    Agile software development has become very popular lately. Just what is agile development? Todd spends some time to introduce the history, values, and practices of agile development and also navigates through some of the agile soup such as Scrum, eXtreme Programming, Lean, Kanban, Agile Alliance, APLN and others.

    SlidesPresented 4 times, 2009–2013

  • An Agile Simulation (Lego Game)

    This is an adaptation of the XP Lego Game developed by Thoughtworks. I have tweaked it a bit to add some product issues such as aesthetics (usability/quality/design) and market uncertainty.

    Full abstract

    Teams experience planning, estimating, building, and delivering a product with Lego bricks over several short iterations, working with a customer to prioritize the backlog and deliver value. The debrief draws out lessons on self-organization, collaboration, quality, and how much estimation is really needed.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2012

  • Uncertainty Surrounding the Cone of Uncertainty

    The “Cone of Uncertainty” of software estimation was first defined by Barry Boehm over 25 years ago. The fundamental aspects of the cone are quite intuitive—that project uncertainty decreases as more is discovered during the project. Todd Little takes an in depth look into some of the dynamics of software estimation, and questions some of the more common interpretations of the meaning of the “cone.” Todd presents data from over 100 “for market” projects developed by a market-leading software company and compares this data with other industry published data. Delegates will discover some of the patterns of software estimation accuracy, some of which go against common industry beliefs. Understanding the uncertainty bounds and patterns greatly helps to understand how to manage for the uncertainty. Delegates will take away from this class the following:

    Full abstract
    • An understanding of “typical” estimation uncertainty
    • Suggestions for how to manage for the uncertainty
    • A collection of metrics to track and analyze uncertainty

    SlidesPresented 2 times, 2007–2008

  • Software Metrics

    This is a summary of a simple set of software metrics that can be utilized to help a development team or organization understand where they are at.

    SlidesPresented 1 time, 2003

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